Why is my result so much worse than the seller's backtest?
Because we charge the costs most vendor backtests quietly omit: the real variable spread from
bid/ask ticks, broker commission, and measured overnight swap. In our own testing, adding commission and swap
alone turned roughly 30% of previously profitable results into losers.
That gap isn't a fault in the test — it's the part that decides whether a strategy survives
contact with a real account.
What is the Monte Carlo test telling me?
It reshuffles your trade sequence thousands of times and shows the resulting spread of outcomes.
A single backtest is one ordering of your trades and can flatter badly. If the strategy only looks good in the
order it happened to occur, this is where that shows.
What are in-sample and out-of-sample?
The window is split: the strategy is judged on the first part, then re-checked on a later part it
was never tuned against. Strong in-sample numbers with weak out-of-sample ones are the classic signature of
curve-fitting — settings tuned to noise that won't repeat.
Why do my M1 and M5 tests always lose?
Spread. On very low timeframes, trade counts run into the tens of thousands, and the spread paid
on every one of them overwhelms the edge. In our own sweep of rule-based strategies, M1 was profitable in
0 of 180 combinations tested, against roughly half on H4 and D1.
It isn't a bug, and it's worth knowing before spending an evening optimising there.
A result shows drawdown above 100%. What does that mean?
The account was mathematically wiped out during the run. Treat those as failures regardless of
how the final profit figure looks — the strategy would have been closed out long before reaching it.
What can the built-in Assistant do?
It analyses strategies and results, and can run real backtests on your own tick data to answer a
question rather than guessing. It works from measured findings and will say when it doesn't have the data
instead of inventing a figure.
It is not a financial adviser: it won't tell you what to buy or predict prices.